War, terrorism, refugees and political instability that are looking for something to worry about broken choice.That 2016 according to the American Council on Foreign Relations, which issued a report on the most likely and alarm events for the coming year.
It is based on crowdsourced concerns about 1000 members of the public who distilled from scientists, government officials and foreign policy experts in 30 real threats to international research security.While specifically refers to threats to US security and national interest, the central location in the country in world affairs means that reads like a directory of the most disturbing events around world.Not startling intensification of the civil war in Syria is considered the number one threat to the security and national interest of the 'highly probable and responsibility has a big impact on us. The potential of a terrorist attack on the mainland of the United States or an ally of the Treaty, it was the second biggest fear then a serious crisis in North Korea due to a military provocation or internal sources instability.Centre preventive action director Paul said that in the face of Preventive Priorities View 2016 is designed as a tool to sharpen the minds of politicians and encourage them to focus their efforts on the most urgent global issues.He said an official confirmation may be your course of action available and make them more expensive to carry out out.Anticipating area of instability, especially any contingencies that may harm the interests of the United States can help on early action and thus reduce the likelihood of costly and delayed reaction, it is a timely reminder for world leaders are grappling with how to deal with a wave of complex and interrelated problems caused by the lack of stability Middle East. Lack of government and factions conflicts in the region in 2015 led to the emergence of terrorist groups, causing a refugee crisis and increase the threat of terrorism in other countries around the problems of the Middle East world.While occupy eight of the list of 11 priorities, the crisis in the European Union, was a student the first year in woes.The global catalog of 500 experts surveyed saw political instability among member states due to different opinions on how to manage migratory and refugee crisis and the threat of terrorism students as a major concern for the stability and durability project.Mr said the list looked for excluded and economic crisis natural disasters for asthese difficult to predict 'significant' .Potential crisis took the high (could lead to US military involvement or threaten strategic resources) to mitigate (the impact of the strategic importance of this this country, but without the Mutual Defense Treaty) to low (limited strategic importance) .Conflict in Iraq, has been replaced as a priority, and Egypt, Libya and Turkey were all standing on the agenda, which has more concern.Five completely new threats have appeared since 2015 including the risk of instability in the EU and increase tensions between Russia and NATO allies tightened the conflict in the Ukraine and Turkey to shoot down Russian aircraft in the last month.
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